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- 比特币圣诞节历史价格大对比:今年已是 2010 年的 392,880 倍”/> <body class="post-template-default single single-post postid-389222 single-format-standard wp-embed-responsive jeg_toggle_light jeg_single_tpl_1 jnews jsc_normal elementor-default elementor-kit-49429
今日是西方国家每年最重要的圣诞节,对此,社群平台 X 用户 Watcher.Furu 就发推整理从 2010 年至 2024 年共 14 年的比特币价格,可以发现,今年的比特币价格竟然是 2010 年的 392880 倍。另外,动区也整理出过去十年 12 月圣诞周期的价格表现,期盼今年能够开心度过久违的牛市圣诞。
(前情提要:Glassnode 研究:比特币每轮周期回撤幅度正在减弱,或已进入牛市後期 )
(背景补充:比特币有圣诞节行情吗?整理过去10年BTC历史数据告诉你 )
比特币在川普当选美国总统後,价格便从 6.9 万美元一路上涨突破十万美元大关,并在本月 17 日刷新历史最高价格 108,353 美元。尽管最近有所回落,但在临近圣诞节的当下,比特币再度逼近十万美元大关,算是提前为投资者送上一份大礼。
比特币价格为 14 年前圣诞节的 392880 倍
在此背景之下,Watcher.Guru 也发推整理比特币在每年圣诞节的价格,可以发现 2024 年的价格竟然已经是 2010 年的 392,880 倍,成长实在惊人。
为了方便阅读,动区将价格数据整理成一张表格:
过去十年圣诞节比特币表现整理
除了比特币的年度增长外,动区也整理出过去十年比特币在圣诞节期间的表现。
据 Coinglass 数据显示,在过去 10 年里(2014 – 2023 年),比特币在 10 次圣诞节中(不过有时差影响在),有 6 次收跌,其中最大跌幅发生在 2018 年,为 5.58%;而在 4 次收涨中,2020 年的涨幅最大,为 4.11%。
虽然从历史数据来看,比特币在圣诞节出现大幅波动的机率较小,但统计过去十年比特币在 12 月的表现可以发现,比特币收涨机率为 50%,最小上涨幅度发生在 2015 年,为 13.83%,最大上涨幅度则高达 46.92%;而在 5 次收跌中,最大下跌幅度为 2021 年的 18.9%,最小则是 2022 年的 3.59%。
总的来看,12 月上涨或下跌的机率各半,但如果是收涨的话,涨幅通常都有二位数,BTC 在今年最後一周是否也能持续拉涨,就让我们看下去。
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Glassnode 研究:比特币每轮周期回撤幅度正在减弱,或已进入牛市後期
比特币一夜拉涨5%突破9.9万美元!BCA Research:三大原因联准会明年会降息超过2码
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